In Elections

Victoria State Election 27 November 2010

Victoria Electoral Commission

Victor P Taffa

Victoria will go to the Polls on Saturday 27 November 2010 to elect a State Government for the next four years.

The Labor Government goes into the Poll defending an incumbency dating back to 1999.

 

 

The last State Election was held in November 2006 and although there has been a number of By-Elections since the 2006 Election the makeup of the Legislative Assembly remains unaltered.

Going into the 27 November 2010 Election the makeup of the House is as follows:

Legislative Assembly

Party                           Seats Held

Labor                                       55

Liberal                                     23

National                                  9

Independent                            1

Total Seats:                            88

The Legislative Council is made up of 8 Regions of which 5 represent each Region in the Parliament.

The makeup of the House is as follows:

Legislative Council

Party                           Seats Held

Labor                                       19

Liberal                                     15

National                                  2

Greens                                     3

Democratic Labor Party          1

Total Seats:                            40

 

The incumbent Brumby Government received 54.4% of the vote at the 2006 Election against that of the Liberal/National Coalition which received 45.6%.

The margins held by each of the Parties in the Legislative Assembly based on the 2006 Election are as follows:

Labor Held Seats:    

Margin Held             No. Of Seats in Margin

20% +                          17

15% +                          5

10% +                          9

5% +                            14

– 5%                             10

Total:                          55

Liberal Held Seats:   

Margin Held             No. Of Seats in Margin

20% +                          0

15% +                          0

10% +                          6

5% +                            10

– 5%                            7

Total:                          23

National Held Seats: 

Margin Held             No. Of Seats in Margin

20%+                           6

15% +                          2

10% +                          0

5% +                            0

-5%                              1

Total:                          9

Independent Held Seats:

                                     Margin Held No. Of Seats in Margin

Gippsland East                      13.6%             1

Total:                          88

The Majority required forming Government in the 88 Seat Legislative Assembly is 45 Seats.

Labor Held Seats of Less Than a 5% Margin are as follows:

  • Mount Waverley         0.31%
  • Gembrook                   0.71%
  • Forest Hill                   0.77%
  • Mitcham                      1.97%
  • South Barwon             2.28%
  • Frankston                    3.22%
  • Mordialloc                   3.54%
  • Prahran                        3.55%
  • Burwood                     3.74%
  • Ripon                          4.35%

Labor Held Seats of between a 5% and 10% Margin are as follows:

  • Bendigo East              5.39%
  • Bentleigh                     6.32%
  • Eltham                         6.48%
  • Ballarat West              6.54%
  • Ballarat East                6.64%
  • Seymour                      6.66%
  • Monbulk                      6.68%
  • Carrum                        6.71%
  • Yan Yean                    7.91%
  • Bellarine                      7.95%
  • Macedon                     8.17%
  • Geelong                       8.33%
  • Narre Warren North    9.23%
  • Albert Park                  9.69%

Liberal Held Seats of Less Than a 5% Margin are as follows:

  • Ferntree Gully             0.04%
  • Kilsyth                        0.35%
  • Hastings                      0.99%
  • Narracan                      2.65%
  • Evelyn                         2.78%
  • Bayswater                   2.89%
  • South-West Coast       4.01%

Liberal Held Seats of between a 5% and 10% Margin are as follows:

  • Box Hill                      5.22%
  • Bass                             5.52%
  • Caulfield                     7.63%
  • Benambra                    7.71%
  • Doncaster                    8.12%
  • Bulleen                        8.43%
  • Sandringham               8.68%
  • Warrandyte                 8.99%
  • Nepean                        9.38%
  • Kew                            9.56%

National Held Seat of Less Than a 5% Margin is as follows:

  • Morwell                       2.12%
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