Queensland State Election 2017 Analysis

Queensland State Election 2017 Analysis

Polling Day Saturday 25 November 2017

Outcome Of Many Seats Yet To Be Decided

Victor P Taffa

Queensland State Election 2017 has resulted in many seats with large numbers of votes and preferences still to be counted.

Both Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk and Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls were unable to claim victory or concede defeat on election night.

What is clear is the failure of some Parties where they were claiming victory before the votes had been counted.

 

Greens Party

The Greens Party have come second in South Brisbane only. Large efforts and resources went into defeat Deputy Premier Jackie Trad.

Greens Party had hardworking people in many seats and failed to make a dent in the election due to a desire by some in their party to put all their eggs in one basket.

One Nation Party

One Nation Party had high hopes of winning seats. It is far too easy to blame preference deals between other parties.

One Nation Party failed to sell their policies in a way that could maximise their vote. As a result One Nation Party are very unlikely to win a seat in the new Legislative Assembly Chamber.

Katter’s Australian Party

Katter’s Australian Party looks likely to claim more than 1 seat once distribution of preferences begins by the Queensland Electoral Commission.

Liberal National Party

Liberal National Party had a thoroughly decent man in Tim Nicholls leading them. However Liberal National Party suffered large swings against them and as a result will not win enough seats that are in doubt to have any chance of forming Government.

While people do not want politicians who are too slick as not to be believed Tim Nicholls best comparison is with former New South Wales Labor Premier Barrie Unsworth.

Barrie Unsworth was in the Legislative Council and parachuted into the seat of Rockdale at a 1986 By-Election.

Many in the media dubbed Barrie Unsworth as the ‘Killer in the Cardigan’ for his urbane style of address that nearly cost him the seat of Rockdale and ultimately cost him the 1988 State Election.

Tim Nicholls had much political baggage to wear that a better salesman could have shaken off.

Labor Party

Labor Party is highly likely to win enough seats to form a majority. Preferences are flowing in Labor’s favour.

Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk’s sincere style went down well with voters.

 

Party               Likely Seats Held

ALP                            40

LNP                            31

KAP                            1

In Doubt                     21

Total Seats                 93

 

Abbreviations

ALP    Australian Labor Party

LNP    Liberal National Party

KAP    Katter’s Australian Party

Results are not final as counting continues in every district

 

Restoration Of Queensland Legislative Council

In August 2017 Editor Victor P Taffa wrote to all members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly calling for a restoration of the Legislative Council.

Given the large swings against the Liberal National Party and likelihood of a majority Labor Government the restoration of the Legislative Council will assist the rebuilding of the Liberal National Party across Queensland.

In balanced comments Labor would be advantaged with a restored Legislative Council. Given the closeness of recent Legislative Assembly elections Labor will find along with all parties that by having a Legislative Council Chamber keeps their party in touch with ordinary Queenslanders.

One Nation Party is yet to win a seat and Katter’s Australian Party has held up so they would find advantage in a restored Legislative Council.

Theodore Labor Government abolished the Legislative Council in 1922.

Editor Victor P Taffa’s plan for a restored Legislative council includes:

5 Regions elect 8 Members for a Legislative Council Chamber of 40 seats.

5 Regions could be named as:

  • Central West
  • Darling Downs
  • North Queensland
  • South East Queensland
  • Sunshine Coast

40 seat Legislative Council Chamber is a modest plan.

As Lower Houses of Parliament have to be at least twice as large numerically speaking a 40 seat Legislative Council will fit into these criteria with a 93 seat Legislative Assembly Chamber.